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2024-12-14 11:03:27

Fitch: It is expected that the freight cycle in the United States and Canada will begin to improve slowly in 2025.US CFTC:WTI crude oil bullish sentiment hit a six-week low, US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC): In the week of December 10th, the net long position of NYMEX WTI crude oil held by speculators decreased by 12,448 contracts to 103,986 contracts, a six-week low. Net long positions in Brent and WTI crude oil decreased by 11,013 contracts to 215,325 contracts. The net long position of NYMEX gasoline increased to 73,037 contracts, a record high of about eight weeks. The net short position of NYMEX heating oil increased to 46,823 contracts, the highest since the data was recorded in June 2006. The net long position of seven contracts of NYMEX natural gas Henry Hub in the United States fell to 108,908 contracts, a three-week low.Take precautions: The possibility of reaching an exchange agreement for detained persons is higher than ever before. On December 13th, local time, Israeli Defense Minister Katz told the families of detained persons that negotiations on the exchange agreement for detained persons are under way, and the possibility of reaching an exchange agreement for detained persons is higher than ever before. Katz said: "If the agreement is submitted to the cabinet, it will be passed."


The financial difficulties led to the sell-off of the real, and the Brazilian central bank intervened, and the Brazilian central bank intervened in the foreign exchange market, which led to the sell-off of the real due to the deterioration of the country's financial prospects. Before the central bank issued the intervention statement, the real hovered near the intraday low, and the decline quickly narrowed after the statement was issued. At 14:52 Sao Paulo time (1:52 am Beijing time), the real fell by only 0.4% against the US dollar, making it no longer the worst emerging market currency on Friday.US stocks closed mixed. Broadcom rose more than 24%, and its market value broke through one trillion dollars. US stocks closed mixed. The Dow fell 0.20%, falling for the seventh consecutive trading day, the Nasdaq rose 0.12%, and the S&P 500 index was flat. This week, the Dow fell 1.82%, the S&P 500 index fell 0.64% and the Nasdaq rose 0.34%. Broadcom rose more than 24%, and its market value exceeded $1 trillion for the first time. Broadcom's AI revenue increased by 220% to US$ 12.2 billion this year. It is estimated that the revenue of AI products will increase by 65% in the first fiscal quarter of fiscal year 2025. Maiwell Technology rose nearly 11%, and its share price reached a record high, because its big competitor Broadcom released an optimistic revenue forecast. TSMC rose by 5%. According to industry sources, TSMC is committed to integrating CoWoS and SiPh, seeking to launch co-packaged optical devices (CPO) in 2026. In addition, Apple cooperates with Broadcom to develop AI chips, and TSMC's advanced process will welcome big orders again. Tesla rose more than 4%, continuing to hit a record high. The report said that the Trump transition team proposed to abolish the current general order requiring automakers to report accidents related to autonomous driving systems.There are about 50 cases of A-share cross-border semiconductor industry frequently this year. Recently, Youa, a leading department store retail enterprise, issued a plan saying that it intends to purchase 100% equity of Shenzhen Shangyangtong Technology Co., Ltd. by issuing shares and paying cash, and raise matching funds, thus entering the field of semiconductor power devices across the border. The target of the merger had previously applied for an IPO in science and technology innovation board, but the order had been withdrawn. After the resumption of trading of Youa shares, the company's share price has been unlimited for three consecutive days. Since the beginning of this year, A-share listed companies have seen an endless stream of M&A and investment cases around semiconductor industry chain projects and assets. As of December 13th, about 50 listed companies have disclosed relevant major asset restructuring plans or investment progress. In addition to Youa shares, listed companies such as Shuangcheng Pharmaceutical, Yanggu Huatai, Baiao Chemical and Guangzhi Technology have also chosen cross-border mergers and acquisitions and laid out semiconductor industry chains. (SSE)


Newman Mining fell 3%, testing a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement near $41.Trump is considering abolishing some banking regulators. It is reported that Trump's transition team began to explore the possibility of significantly reducing, integrating or abolishing the top banking regulator. According to people familiar with the matter, in a recent meeting with the heads of potential banking supervision departments, Trump consultants and officials of the newly established government efficiency department raised a question, that is, whether Trump can withdraw the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC). The aides also asked the potential chairman of the FDIC and the nominee for the director of the Office of Monetary Supervision (OCC) whether deposit insurance can be deposited in the Ministry of Finance if the FDIC is cut.Analysis of the influence of the interest rate of 10-year treasury bonds falling below 2% on the stock market. After the interest rate of 10-year treasury bonds fell below 2%, although there were many discussions from all sides, it basically had no influence on the stock market trend, and the stocks with high dividends remained flat and there was no obvious capital inflow. Some analysts believe that there are two reasons here. First, the funds invested in fixed-income products and the funds invested in the stock market generally belong to two types of funds, and they rarely operate across varieties. Even if the internal and external factors have changed, resulting in the need for mobility, but the specific implementation also needs a process, can not be immediate. Second, the interest rate of 10-year treasury bonds fell below 2%, which also reflected some judgment of investors on the trend of interest rate in the market outlook, and this actually reflected the market's expectation of the growth rate of the real economy, which required greater countercyclical adjustment. (Securities Times)

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